This paper presents a method using data-driven models for selecting actions and predicting the total performance of autonomous wheel loader operations over many loading cycles in a changing environment. The performance includes loaded mass, loading time, work. The data-driven models input the control parameters of a loading action and the heightmap of the initial pile state to output the inference of either the performance or the resulting pile state. By iteratively utilizing the resulting pile state as the initial pile state for consecutive predictions, the prediction method enables long-horizon forecasting. Deep neural networks were trained on data from over 10,000 random loading actions in gravel piles of different shapes using 3D multibody dynamics simulation. The models predict the performance and the resulting pile state with, on average, 95% accuracy in 1.2 ms, and 97% in 4.5 ms, respectively. The performance prediction was found to be even faster in exchange for accuracy by reducing the model size with the lower dimensional representation of the pile state using its slope and curvature. The feasibility of long-horizon predictions was confirmed with 40 sequential loading actions at a large pile. With the aid of a physics-based model, the pile state predictions are kept sufficiently accurate for longer-horizon use.

In mining, grade control generally focuses on blast hole sampling and the estimation of ore control block models with little or no attention given to how the materials are being excavated from the ground. In the process of loading trucks, the underlying variability of the individual bucket load will determine the variability of truck payload. Hence, accurate material movement demands a good knowledge of the excavation process and the buckets interaction with the environment. However, equipment frequently goes into off nominal states due to unexpected delays, disturbances or faults. The large amount of such disturbances causes information loss that reduces the statistical power and biases estimates, leading to increased uncertainty in the production. A reliable method that inferences the missing knowledge about the interaction between the machine and the environment from the available data sources, is vital to accurately model the material movement. In this study, a twostep method was implemented that performed unsupervised clustering and then predicted the missing information. The first method is DBSCAN based spatial clustering which divides the diggers and buckets positional data into connected loading segments. Clear patterns of segmented bucket dig positions were observed. The second model utilized Gaussian process regression which was trained with the clustered data and the model was then used to infer the mean locations of the test clusters. Bucket dig locations were then simulated at the inferred mean locations for different durations and compared against the known bucket dig locations. This method was tested at an open pit mine in the Pilbara of Western Australia. The results demonstrate the advantage of the proposed method in inferencing the missing information of bucket environment interactions and therefore enables miners to continuously track the material movement.